東方-時(shí)事云評(píng)【第20201029-206期】
10月 28 日
今年年初
當(dāng)中國(guó)最先檢測(cè)到新冠病毒并果斷采取有效防疫措施封城時(shí)
許多西方媒體就立刻假想“這場(chǎng)疫情將成為中國(guó)的切爾諾貝利”
諸如紐約時(shí)報(bào)這些個(gè)西方媒體幾乎一致高呼中國(guó)封城是破壞人權(quán)
而當(dāng)意大利也封城時(shí)
還是那個(gè)紐約時(shí)報(bào)、卻猛夸其為果敢
“雙標(biāo)”被西方媒體玩到了如此程度
當(dāng)時(shí)玩“雙標(biāo)”正嗨的西媒渾然不知自家早已深陷這場(chǎng)新冠大危機(jī)當(dāng)中
抱著看說笑話的心態(tài)大玩“國(guó)際馳名雙標(biāo)”
經(jīng)過半年時(shí)間的煎熬
恐怕這些西媒的小編與老板們、都早已沒心情“玩雙標(biāo)”了
因?yàn)樾鹿谝咔檫€了他們一個(gè)“雙標(biāo)”
我們對(duì)澳媒曾發(fā)表的
“如果共產(chǎn)黨給西方上了一課呢？”的“恐懼之問”記憶猶新
事實(shí)上中國(guó)對(duì)疫情的成功防控
通過十一黃金周6.5億人次出游,國(guó)內(nèi)旅游收入4665.6億元
期間全國(guó)零售和餐飲重點(diǎn)監(jiān)測(cè)企業(yè)銷售額約1.6萬億元的數(shù)據(jù)
已經(jīng)得到全面證實(shí)
至于青島5天完成1092萬份核酸檢測(cè)
尤其是迅速控制了疫情等等
足以證明共產(chǎn)黨不光給西方上了一課
還給全世界的人民都上了生動(dòng)的一課
此時(shí)的中國(guó)在西方媒體看來更多的是羨慕
紐約時(shí)報(bào)網(wǎng)站10月14日更是刊載題為
《新冠沒有成為中國(guó)的切爾諾貝利,卻成了美國(guó)的滑鐵盧》一文
10月19日
中國(guó)國(guó)家統(tǒng)計(jì)局公布了三季度經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)
多個(gè)指標(biāo)由負(fù)轉(zhuǎn)正前三季度GDP同比增長(zhǎng)0.7%
表明中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)正延續(xù)穩(wěn)定恢復(fù)態(tài)勢(shì)
即便是“做人不能太CNN”的CNN、也直言不諱表示中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)被全世界羨慕
英國(guó)新駐華大使邊唱著中國(guó)贊歌邊赴京上任
與此同時(shí)英國(guó)情報(bào)高官大談中國(guó)威脅論
可見對(duì)方仍然在奉行政治特別是安全層面與中國(guó)保持高度對(duì)抗
因此,它們對(duì)中國(guó)的羨慕自然會(huì)帶著更多的嫉妒
值得注意的是
10月19日,俄羅斯聯(lián)邦安全會(huì)議發(fā)布消息表示
俄安全會(huì)議專家認(rèn)為人為制造病毒感染流行是可能發(fā)生的
俄羅斯從官方層面正式確認(rèn)此事
意味俄羅斯將會(huì)全面參與未來即將啟動(dòng)的相關(guān)進(jìn)程中
進(jìn)程與方向一是向全面甩鍋中國(guó)的方向發(fā)展
從而出現(xiàn)所謂的新冠版本的南亞破局
進(jìn)程與方向二則是被迫與中國(guó)全面合作
以共同抗擊疫情,向共同恢復(fù)經(jīng)濟(jì)的方向發(fā)展
從而全球局勢(shì)將導(dǎo)向“中東全面破局”的“全球大民主”的多極局面
盡管距離西方全面追究中國(guó)責(zé)任還有稍許距離
但蓬佩奧也早已公然叫囂要建立一個(gè)全球反華聯(lián)盟
美國(guó)一些政客也喊出過讓中國(guó)為傳播病毒付出代價(jià)的無恥言論
經(jīng)過時(shí)間的進(jìn)一步發(fā)酵
外媒從今天的羨慕嫉妒轉(zhuǎn)化為
配合美國(guó)政客掀起的新一輪反華浪潮
如果俄羅斯,甚至伊朗,日本,韓國(guó)等
都加入這一反華浪潮從而形成“新冠版本的南亞破局”的污流
這個(gè)概率不僅存在且不小
但由于我們有“最低經(jīng)濟(jì)內(nèi)循環(huán)”作為保障
“新冠版本南亞破局”對(duì)中國(guó)并無法構(gòu)成實(shí)質(zhì)性傷害
我們真正要警惕的是
對(duì)方在把其切換為“傳統(tǒng)層面的南亞破局”的進(jìn)程中
會(huì)在中國(guó)周邊構(gòu)成金融防火墻、搞封鎖線、搞三獨(dú)
這樣對(duì)中國(guó)就會(huì)構(gòu)成比較實(shí)質(zhì)性的傷害
作為應(yīng)對(duì)方案
第一中國(guó)會(huì)絕對(duì)控制南海,進(jìn)一步夯實(shí)最低內(nèi)循環(huán)
第二如果可以就此拿回臺(tái)灣,廢掉美元
進(jìn)而啟動(dòng)并升級(jí)最低內(nèi)循環(huán)模式
而東南亞或?qū)⑹堑谝粋€(gè)進(jìn)入升級(jí)序列的地區(qū)
那時(shí)的全球經(jīng)濟(jì)早已經(jīng)是滿地雞毛
世界上的任何國(guó)家總要“吃飯”
而西方除了造謠之外還能提供什么？
而中國(guó)的國(guó)慶長(zhǎng)假已經(jīng)將一個(gè)“旅游版本最低限度經(jīng)濟(jì)內(nèi)循環(huán)”赫然展示在世人面前
而“旅游版本”只不過是、包括“5G商用版本的中國(guó)最低經(jīng)濟(jì)內(nèi)循環(huán)”等、諸多腳本中的一個(gè)
經(jīng)過了多年的扎實(shí)準(zhǔn)備,中國(guó)現(xiàn)在就攤牌的自信比2014年就攤牌要強(qiáng)大得多
10月19日
俄羅斯列瓦達(dá)中心進(jìn)行的民調(diào)顯示
俄羅斯歷史中最令俄人民感到恥辱和痛心的事件為蘇聯(lián)解體
49%受訪者持此觀點(diǎn),為最近20年最高指數(shù)
對(duì)此東方時(shí)事解讀不禁要問
既然如此之多的俄羅斯人對(duì)蘇聯(lián)解體感到痛心
那為什么你們還要允許
類似戈?duì)柊蛦谭蜻@樣的“第五縱隊(duì)”在俄羅斯存在并極其活躍呢？
這是否也能揭示為什么俄羅斯
在諸多重大國(guó)際事件的決策中一錯(cuò)再錯(cuò)不吸取教訓(xùn)的深層次原因？
在東方時(shí)事解讀看來,本身之上
我們總說俄羅斯總是相信自己愿意相信的事情
戈?duì)柊蛦谭蛉绱?葉利欽如此,普京難道不是如此嗎？
由此可見,本質(zhì)上,普京與戈?duì)柊蛦谭蜃叩氖且粭l路
只不過走的方法不一樣,有急有緩而已
之所以俄羅斯目前仍然沒有徹底倒向西方
恐怕并非是其不認(rèn)同西方的“民主理念”
而僅在于利益分配不到位而已
此外鑒于局勢(shì)的微妙性
一方面懼怕中俄戰(zhàn)略互信解體
另一方面對(duì)中美（西）徹底攤牌俄羅斯?jié)M血復(fù)活充滿期待
俄羅斯在其對(duì)外政策的表現(xiàn)上仍在盡力維持某種平衡
而這種心態(tài)也在其疫苗生產(chǎn)的問題上表現(xiàn)的淋漓盡致
10月19日
俄羅斯表示俄新冠疫苗“衛(wèi)星-V”
將在印度、巴西、韓國(guó)、中國(guó)及“另一國(guó)家”生產(chǎn)
其中俄羅斯未明確說明的“另一國(guó)家”或就是朝鮮
俄羅斯之所以在這些國(guó)家生產(chǎn)疫苗
就是為了讓這些國(guó)家使用俄羅斯的疫苗
到目前為止,世界范圍內(nèi)有能力研制出疫苗的似乎只有中國(guó)、或者再加上一個(gè)俄羅斯
我們注意到
在俄羅斯的疫苗生產(chǎn)國(guó)名單中有巴西這個(gè)國(guó)家
此前中國(guó)疫苗在巴西進(jìn)行臨床三期試驗(yàn)取得非常好的效果
獲得巴西醫(yī)務(wù)人員的信任
但在東方時(shí)事解讀的觀察與評(píng)估中
我們很早就強(qiáng)調(diào)
巴西能否最終全面使用中國(guó)疫苗并非“板上釘釘”
由于西方對(duì)巴西的政局滲透極深
中國(guó)疫苗能否在巴西開花結(jié)果恐怕兩說
恰恰在前幾天
巴西總統(tǒng)就以經(jīng)費(fèi)不足的原因拒絕購(gòu)買中國(guó)疫苗
如此便是“只開花不結(jié)果”了
那“果”誰來送呢？俄羅斯的疫苗恰好來了
正如巴西國(guó)內(nèi)一些專家明言
巴西政府某些政要以各種理由拒絕購(gòu)買中國(guó)疫苗
就是一種政治態(tài)度;就是政治因素問題
所以巴西這樣的國(guó)家一定在“落水撈人”的行列之中
除了巴西之外,俄羅斯的疫苗生產(chǎn)國(guó)名單上還有印度
印度雖然號(hào)稱是“醫(yī)藥大國(guó)”
但其“醫(yī)藥大國(guó)”的背后恐怕隱藏著不為人知的與西方的骯臟交易
具體是什么交易在此就不多說了
地球人都懂的
因此印度被西方“恩賜”可以仿制西方的藥物
但印度只能是一個(gè)藥物生產(chǎn)大國(guó)
其在藥物科研方面的力量卻極為薄弱
俄羅斯在疫苗生產(chǎn)的問題上同樣展現(xiàn)出兩種選擇方案
一方面;在西方在新冠疫情源頭問題上“群起甩鍋”中國(guó)的問題上
其或以“我非中國(guó)”（變相加入“甩鍋中國(guó)”行列）為由
與其同流合污并在巴西、印度等國(guó)家生產(chǎn)俄羅斯疫苗
另一方面也在向西方大打“中國(guó)牌”
擺出準(zhǔn)備深化與中國(guó)抗疫合作的姿態(tài)
并借助中國(guó)的實(shí)力向全世界提供疫苗供應(yīng)
而這份產(chǎn)能不僅來源于疫情全面控制的中國(guó)
同樣也會(huì)來自于那個(gè)俄羅斯未曾提及的“神秘國(guó)家”——朝鮮
如果真的是這樣
意味著俄羅斯在宣示“瘟疫（生物戰(zhàn)）有人為的可能”之后
其“身體”開始慢慢靠向中國(guó),靠向國(guó)際社會(huì)
這無疑是我們歡迎的
但最終是否如此!我們只能拭目以待
在進(jìn)一步的結(jié)果出來之前
對(duì)俄羅斯仍然是“有希望,不指望 ,外加高度警惕”！
In the beginning of this year
When China first detected the COVID-19 virus and resolutely took effective epidemic prevention measures to close the city
Many Western media immediately assumed that "this epidemic will become China's Chernobyl."
Western media, such as the New York Times, have almost unanimously called that the closure of Chinese cities is a violation of human rights
And when Italy also closed cities
Still the New York Times, but appraised that it's bold
"Double Standard" has been played to such an extent by Western media
At that time, the western media, who were playing "double standard", didn't know that they were already in the crisis of the COVID-19
Play "international famous double standard" with the mentality of watching and telling jokes
After half a year of suffering
I'm afraid these western media editors and bosses are not in the mood to "play Double Standard"
Because the new epidemic situation gave them a "double mark"
We have published
"What if the Communist Party taught the west a lesson?" "The question of fear" is still fresh in our memories
In fact, China's successful prevention and control of the epidemic
Through the National Day golden week, 650 million people traveled, and the domestic tourism revenue reached 466.56 billion yuan
During this period, the national retail and catering key monitoring enterprise sales data of about 1.6 trillion yuan
It has been fully confirmed
Qingdao completed 10.92 million nucleic acid tests in five days
In particular, the epidemic was quickly controlled
It is enough to prove that the Communist Party has not only taught the west a lesson
It also taught a vivid lesson to people all over the world
At this time, China in the eyes of the western media is more envious
On October 14, the New York Times website published
"The COVID-19 did not become China's Chernobyl, but became the Waterloo of the United States"
October 19th
China's National Bureau of Statistics released economic data for the third quarter
GDP in the first three quarters increased by 0.7% year on year
It shows that China's economy is continuing to recover steadily
Even CNN, which is "not too CNN to be a man", also said frankly that China's economy was envied by the whole world
The new British ambassador to China sang the praises of China while taking office in Beijing
At the same time, senior British information officials talked about China's threat theory
It can be seen that the other side is still pursuing politics, especially at the security level, maintaining a high degree of confrontation with China
Therefore, their envy of China will naturally bring more jealousy
Please note that
On October 19, the Russian Federation security conference released a message saying that
Experts at the Russian security conference believe that human made virus infection is likely to occur
Russia officially confirmed the matter from the official level
It means that Russia will fully participate in the relevant process to be launched in the future
The first is towards the direction of shifting the blame to China completely
Thus the so-called COVID-19 version of South Asia break
The other is forced to cooperate with China in an all-round way
To jointly fight against the epidemic and develop in the direction of common economic recovery
Thus, the global situation will lead to the multipolar situation of "global democracy" with "the Middle East comprehensively breaking down"
Although there is still a short way to go before the West fully investigates China's responsibility
But Pompeo has already openly called for the establishment of a global Anti-China Alliance
Some politicians in the United States have also called out shameless remarks that make China pay the price for spreading the virus
After time of further fermentation
Foreign media from today's envy and jealousy into
In line with the new wave of Anti-China launched by American politicians
If Russia, even Iran, Japan, South Korea, etc
They all joined the Anti-China wave and formed a "COVID-19 version of South Asia Break"
This probability exists and is not small
But because we have a "minimum economic cycle" as a guarantee
"COVID-19 version of South Asia break" cannot cause substantial harm to China
What we really need to be alert to is
The other side is in the process of switching to "the traditional level of South Asia Break"
It will form a financial firewall, a blockade line and three independence activities around China
These will cause substantial harm to China
As a response plan
First, China will absolutely control the South China Sea and further consolidate the minimum internal circulation
Second, if we can take it back to Taiwan and scrap the US dollar
Then start and upgrade the minimum internal circulation mode
Southeast Asia may be the first region to enter the upgrade sequence
At that time, the global economy was already covered with chicken feathers
Any country in the world always needs to eat
And what else can the West offer besides rumor?
China's National Day holiday has put a "tourism version of the minimum economic cycle" in front of the world
The "tourism version" is just one of many scripts, including "5g commercial version of China's lowest economic cycle"
After years of solid preparation, China's confidence in showdown now is much stronger than that in 2014
October 19th
According to a poll conducted by the Levada center in Russia
The most humiliating and painful event in Russian history is the disintegration of the Soviet Union
49% of respondents hold this view, which is the highest index in the last 20 years
Dongfang Time can't help asking
Since so many Russians are distressed by the collapse of the Soviet Union
Then why do you still allow
the "fifth column" like Gorbachev exist and are extremely active in Russia?
Can this also reveal the deep-seated reasons why Russia has repeatedly made mistakes and failed to learn lessons in many major international events?
In Dongfang Time’ opinion, it is above itself
We always say that Russia always believes in what it wants to believe
Gorbachev, Yeltsin and Putin?
It can be seen that, in essence, Putin and Gorbachev are on the same path
It's just that the method of walking is different. There are urgency and slowness
The reason why Russia is still not completely turning to the West
I'm afraid it's not that he doesn't agree with western "democratic ideas"
But only because the distribution of interests is not in place
Moreover, given the delicacy of the situation
On the one hand, they fear the disintegration of strategic mutual trust between China and Russia
On the other hand, they are looking forward to a complete showdown between China and the United States (West), and Russia's full blood resurrection
Russia is still trying to maintain a certain balance in its foreign policy performance
And this kind of mentality also displays incisively and vividly in its vaccine production question
October 19th
Russia says Russia's COVID-19 vaccine "satellite-v"
It will be produced in India, Brazil, South Korea, China and "another country"
Among them, the "other country" that Russia did not specify and it perhaps is North Korea
The reason why Russia produces vaccines in these countries
It's to get these countries to use the Russian vaccine
So far, it seems that only China, or Russia, has the ability to develop vaccines worldwide
We noticed that
Brazil is on the list of vaccine producers in Russia
Previously, China's vaccine in Brazil for the third phase of clinical trials, achieved very good results
Gain the trust of Brazilian medical staff
But in the observation and evaluation of Dongfang Time
We've been emphasizing that for a long time
Whether Brazil can finally fully use the Chinese vaccine is not a certainty
Due to the deep penetration of the western political situation in Brazil
I'm afraid there are two opinions on whether China's vaccine can blossom and bear fruit in Brazil
Just a few days ago
Brazil's president refused to buy Chinese vaccines for lack of funds
In this way, we can only blossom but not bear fruit
Who will deliver the fruit? The Russian vaccine just arrived
As some experts in Brazil have said
Some Brazilian government officials refused to buy Chinese vaccines for various reasons
It is a kind of political attitude; it is a question of political factors
So countries like Brazil must be in the ranks of "catching people in the water"
In addition to Brazil, Russia has India on its list of vaccine producers
Although India is known as a "pharmaceutical power"
But behind its "pharmaceutical power", I'm afraid there is a dirty deal with the West
I won't say much about the transaction
Everyone on earth knows that
Therefore, India is "gifted" by the west to imitate western medicine
But India can only be a big drug producer
Its strength in drug research is extremely weak
Russia also shows two options for vaccine production
On the one hand, on the issue of the west "collectively shifting the blame (the source of the COVID-19 blame)" to China
And Russia may use "I am not China" (disguised to join the gangs of "shifting the blame to China") as an excuse
And involved in the production of Russian vaccines in Brazil, India and other countries
On the other hand, they are playing the "China card" to the West
Show off preparing to deepen the anti-epidemic cooperation with China
And with China's strength to provide vaccine supply to the world
And this capacity does not only come from China, where the epidemic is under comprehensive control
It will also come from North Korea, a "mysterious country" not mentioned by Russia
If that's true
It means that Russia has declared that "there is man-made possibility of plague (biological warfare)"
Its "body" began to lean towards China and the international community
This is undoubtedly welcome
But in the end, we can only wait and see
Before further results are available
Russia is still "hopeful, not expected, and highly vigilant"!
|
